Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 11.108340 13.013049 15.096552 17.538261 20.314420 23.365600 26.965561
2025-06-29 7.600918 10.087567 13.101041 16.989825 21.839728 27.650874 35.098409
2025-07-06 5.500633 8.089791 11.498745 16.244903 22.599476 30.722031 41.781803
2025-07-13 4.691099 7.492701 11.431842 17.248878 25.468915 36.495095 52.190805
2025-07-20 4.064764 6.986945 11.339933 18.103696 28.109951 42.085328 62.723905
2025-07-27 3.504622 6.452017 11.083343 18.620716 30.239604 47.058291 72.708540
2025-08-03 2.979319 5.861935 10.629285 18.735033 31.718459 51.142239 81.648902
2025-08-10 2.470367 5.196043 9.938920 18.356239 32.348195 53.951638 88.840365
2025-08-17 2.040079 4.584475 9.238210 17.846982 32.673491 56.258705 95.356143
2025-08-24 1.680122 4.033141 8.553842 17.261098 32.777594 58.172186 101.321588
2025-08-31 1.362083 3.499023 7.814986 16.471372 32.427715 59.281301 106.020719
2025-09-07 1.227071 3.329927 7.750503 16.905433 34.233730 64.035416 116.877792
2025-09-14 1.061174 3.075143 7.514510 17.060073 35.691605 68.544259 128.045999
2025-09-21 0.873417 2.727166 7.036956 16.697779 36.200555 71.534836 137.013925
2025-09-28 0.696068 2.355102 6.436640 15.993330 35.970411 73.184147 143.771832
2025-10-05 0.651749 2.331599 6.627944 16.989320 39.161510 81.236128 162.284429
2025-10-12 0.602613 2.281367 6.745792 17.834027 42.116588 89.040797 180.802590
2025-10-19 0.542078 2.179951 6.718934 18.344568 44.421854 95.766671 197.735907
2025-10-26 0.472031 2.027272 6.532839 18.457450 45.891591 100.979899 212.162104
2025-11-02 0.393975 1.821558 6.165726 18.083528 46.266344 104.069264 222.764299
2025-11-09 0.324495 1.620745 5.770750 17.580835 46.295951 106.455401 232.138330
2025-11-16 0.264585 1.432190 5.370467 17.002535 46.085645 108.321046 240.583933
2025-11-23 0.210245 1.241883 4.921107 16.223085 45.317829 108.962160 246.627089